Primary dealers see 35 pct chance of another recession: Poll

2011-10-07T19:30:13Z

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Larger-than-expected jobs growth in September has Wall Street economists thinking the United States is unlikely to tip back into recession any time soon although economic growth will remain tepid, according to a Reuters poll on Friday.

Economists see new recession increasingly likely

2011-10-04T14:00:22Z

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The chances of a new U.S. recession are rising rapidly as employment and housing remain depressed and Europe's debt crisis threatens to spill over, according to a number of prominent economists.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday d...

Fed's Plosser: Twist will do little for growth

2011-09-29T06:00:20Z

RADNOR, Pennsylvania (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's move last week to further lower borrowing costs was risky and won't significantly speed up a "painfully protracted" recovery, one of the officials who dissented against the decision said on Thursday.

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Will governments wait until panicked again before acting?

2011-09-19T19:30:17Z

Recession was not severe enough to correct all the excesses of the previous partying on easy money

As the downturn worsened severely in 2008, governments around the world finally jumped in with massive panicked rescue efforts.

In March 2008, there was the $29 billion bailout of Bear Stearns, in May the $178 billion in stimulus checks to consumers, in July the $...

Prepare for a recession and bear market

2011-09-12T19:30:13Z

Global stock markets outside of the U.S. are already in full-fledged bear markets

Brace yourself for a recession.

Central banks around the world seem to be doing so, making little effort to prevent it this time around, resigned to letting the business cycle play out.

Stock markets around the world also seem to be doing so. In anticipation of economic slowdowns that won’t slide all the w...

Why a recession and bear market may be inescapable

2011-09-06T19:30:09Z

Fed Chairman Bernanke acknowledged the economy is slowing faster than the Fed previously thought

Note to Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke:

It’s happening, Ben. Your assurances of an economic recovery in the second half are in the wind, blown away by the continuing string of terrible economic reports. The next recession is probably already underway!

It was a righteous effort to try optimistic as...

US economy grew just 1.0% in second quarter

2011-08-26T11:30:27Z

The US economy grew at a weaker pace than initially believed in the second quarter, the government said Friday in a report that underscored the tenuous nature of the two-year-old recovery.

The Commerce Department lowered its estimate for second-quarter growth in gross domestic product to an annual rate of 1.0 percent from the first quarter, from a prior reading of 1.3 percent.

"The recovery continues, but ...

World stocks slump on global recession fears

2011-08-18T13:30:27Z

Global stocks slumped Thursday as more weak data fuelled concern that the world was heading for another recession, and after the US Federal Reserve reportedly expressed concerns over European banks' liquidity.

Traders' screens were awash with red, as Madrid, Milan and Paris equities plunged more than 6.0 percent, while Lond...

Fed vows low rates for two more years

2011-08-09T17:31:35Z

The Federal Reserve pledged Tuesday to hold interest rates near zero for two more years to counter an economy facing increased risks of stalling.

But it offered no successor to the $600 billion "QE2" stimulus program that wound up in June, though it said it was reviewing the tools it has on hand to boost a slowing economy.

Meeting as worries grew of a new US recession, the Fed's policy board ...

Only 'moderate' US growth ahead: Bernanke

2011-07-13T20:30:22Z

US Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke on Wednesday forecast a moderate surge in growth later this year, but said the Fed is ready with new stimulus measures if the economy continues to stall.

Giving a mixed view of the US economy to lawmakers, the central bank chairman recognized that growth had hit...

US recovery slows, fueling stagnation fears

2011-06-01T19:30:40Z

Revelations that key sectors of the US economy were pummeled last month have rekindled fears that the world's largest economy faces protracted high unemployment and lackluster growth.

Exactly two years after the recession officially ended, weakness in the jobs, housing and manufacturing sectors left economists scrambling to downgrade their growth predictions on Wednesday.

"This week is the most important week for asses...

Stagflation is on the way

2011-05-02T19:30:20Z

If gold and global central banks are to be believed, an inflationary spiral has been underway for more than a year

It’s official. The U.S. economic recovery is stumbling again, as indicated by Thursday’s report that GDP growth plunged to only 1.8% in the first quarter (from 3.1% growth in the previous quarter). And spiking oil, food, and other commodity prices have inflation on the rise.

Don’t lose sight of how we got here.

Paul calls Fed's Bernanke "cocky" in House hearing

2011-02-09T17:30:47Z

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican Ron Paul, an outspoken critic of the Federal Reserve, called Chairman Ben Bernanke "cocky" on Wednesday in the first hearing he held as the head of a <...

Washington's Next Stimulus Plan

2010-12-14T11:30:26Z

Congress is readying an economic booster shot that should deliver jobs, economic growth -- and a bigger deficit.

Politicians seldom follow the advice of economists, but they have found something to agree on. For the moment, they’re setting aside the debate over reducing the debt and firing up what amounts to round two of deficit spending, ai...

A different kind of deflation

2010-11-23T19:30:22Z

2011 will be the last full year before the ugly effects of hyper deflation appear.

There’s a wealth of wisdom to be found in ancient Chinese proverbs. Not uncommonly one can find answers to the most complex problems today by reading the simple yet elegant epigrams found in any collection of ancient sayings.

One of the themes that runs like a thread in any book of Chinese proverbs is the honor the Chinese confer to the elderly.
One such prov...

The Courage To Do Nothing

2010-11-29T14:40:31Z

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What Caused The Great Depression?

2010-11-29T14:44:14Z

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The Causes And Effects Of Credit Shocks

2010-11-29T14:44:14Z

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The Great Inflation Of The 1970s

2010-11-29T14:44:11Z

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Fight Back Against Inflation

2010-11-29T14:43:59Z

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Industrial Production Remains Unchanged, Fails to Meet Expectations

2010-11-29T14:49:34Z

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Manufacturing Output Continues to Expand

2010-11-29T14:49:33Z

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What is stagflation and why is it so dangerous?

2010-11-29T14:42:48Z

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How Recessions Work

2010-11-29T14:42:48Z

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FED Balance Sheet for Households Shows 47% Slide in Home Equity

2010-11-29T14:51:49Z

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It's a Solvency Problem, Not a Liquidity Problem

2010-11-29T14:48:56Z

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How excessive consumer credit contributed to the recession in the United States

2010-11-29T15:43:19Z

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The U.S. Federal Reserve and money supply as one of the main causes of the Great Depression

2010-11-29T16:00:46Z

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Analyzing Black Thursday and the causes of the Great Depression

2010-11-29T16:00:50Z

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Causes of the Great Depression: The U.S. Federal Reserve and money supply

2010-11-29T16:00:43Z

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Real Estate Needs to Fall So It Can Then Rise and Boost the Economy?

2010-11-29T14:48:39Z

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Industrial Output Falls For First Time Since Recession Ended In June '09

2010-11-29T14:44:26Z

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Why the U.S. Federal Reserve can't raise interest rates

2010-11-29T15:37:21Z

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The subprime mortgage market mess and what it means to you

2010-11-29T15:36:37Z

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Tips for achieving economic prosperity

2010-11-29T15:37:11Z

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Productivity rebounds while labor costs decline

2010-11-04T10:01:01Z

Productivity shows modest rebound in third quarter while labor costs fall slightly

Productivity showed a modest rebound in the July-September quarter while labor costs fell slightly.

Productivity grew at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the third quarter, a rebound from a decline of 1.8 percent in the second quarter, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The second quarter decline had been the biggest drop in nearly four years.

Labor costs fell at a ...

Bernanke defends new Fed plan to aid economy

2010-11-04T07:33:19Z

Bernanke defends new bond-buying program; says fears of inflation are `overstated'

Worries are overblown that the Federal Reserve's plan to aid the economy could unleash inflation, Chairman Ben Bernanke said.

Bernanke's comments come hours after the Fed announced Wednesday that it will buy $600 billion wort...

Fed poised to unveil new program to aid economy

2010-11-03T17:56:10Z

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Fed poised to buy more bonds to try to aid economy

2010-11-03T16:52:23Z

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US central bank set prime US economy

2010-11-02T03:30:29Z

The Fed's open market committee (FOMC) will begin a two-day meeting in Washington, when it is widely expected to resume large-scale spending not seen since the depths of the economic crisis.

The US central bank is likely to announce that it will restart purchases of long-term US bonds -- essentially printing billions of dollars -- in the hop...

The past won't repeat; go for a dividend

2010-11-03T17:53:54Z

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Only slight economic gains seen in 2011

2010-11-03T16:52:20Z

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America's Consumer Debt Disaster

2010-11-04T14:33:10Z

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A Financial Conspiracy Of The Largest Magnitude Is At The Root Of Today's Economic Crisis!

2010-11-03T10:21:22Z

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Government involvement in current economic meltdown

2010-11-04T14:32:57Z

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Reflections: Coping with todays economic pains

2010-11-04T14:25:08Z

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Is the Fed sorry it promised QE2?

2010-10-25T19:30:20Z

Hot stock market rally seemed uncertain about what to expect

The Fed has had stocks and gold spiking up since early September, and the dollar" class="inform">dollar plunging, first on hints that it might consider providing another round of ‘quantitative easing’ if the economic recovery continued to worsen, and then practically promising it’s ready to do so. <...

Don't Blame our Economic Crisis on the People!

2010-11-03T03:20:42Z

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Causes of Global Recession - Are We On the Road to Recovery?

2010-11-03T03:20:37Z

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Bernanke Should be Reappointed

2010-11-03T03:17:59Z

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Recession Ending?

2010-11-03T03:20:49Z

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9-19-08 Crisis End Game--Paul Krugman NY Times

2010-11-03T03:11:24Z

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Causes of Current Global Recession - Learn the Factors That Affect Your Money's Buying Power

2010-11-03T03:20:48Z

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Is Bernanke Inflating The Biggest Bubble Ever?

2010-11-02T12:28:57Z

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Forget QE2: The Only Commodity to Own Is Gold

2010-10-19T10:01:03Z

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Industrial production falls 0.2 percent in Sept.

2010-11-02T12:28:51Z

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Is the Fed still blowing bubbles?

2010-10-18T19:30:26Z

Will worry about the consequences down the road

The modern Fed has quite a history of blowing bubbles, and doing so even when it seems to be aware of what it’s doing.

Remember the dotcom bubble in 1999 and the stock market bubble in 2000?

In 1998, Fed Chairman Greenspan had already warned of ‘irrational exuberance’ in the stock market a year or two before. But t...

Federal bank's KC prez warns against low rates

2010-10-18T17:00:14Z

Federal Reserve Band's KC president says too-low interest rates not good in the long term

The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City said Monday that keeping interest rates too low for too long would not be in the best long-term interest of the economy.

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Fed Still Blowing Bubbles?

2010-11-02T12:28:19Z

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Bernanke tilts debate on key roots of unemployment

2010-10-15T14:31:46Z

Bernanke links unemployment more to weak economy than to workers' lack of desired skills

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Friday gave an endorsement to one side in a debate among economists about what is the main reason unemployment is so high.

Bernanke agreed with those who see the problem being more tied to a weak economy, and less so to workers lacking the necessary skills for jo...

Deflation, Inflation and Bernanke the Bond Salesman

2010-11-02T18:02:04Z

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Causes of economic recession

2010-11-02T17:59:44Z

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Surviving The Economic Recession With A Bang

2010-11-03T00:02:05Z

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Reasons for Financial Crisis & How We’re Being Affected By the Recession Cycle

2010-11-03T00:00:43Z

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The Real Revolution is Fighting Asset Inflation

2010-11-02T23:16:27Z

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Run on Banks

2010-11-03T00:00:59Z

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What is Stagflation? What?...Stagflation....

2010-11-02T18:28:26Z

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Stock Market Crash and the Great Depression

2010-11-02T18:28:28Z

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The Foreclosure Crisis, Part III, Too Big to fail

2010-11-02T23:56:06Z

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Recession: What is it and How did we get there?

2010-11-03T00:01:57Z

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Uncovering Causes of Global Recession and the Truth About Our Economic Crisis

2010-11-03T00:02:01Z

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Recession-proof investments

2010-11-02T23:32:09Z

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What is A Double Dip Recession?

2010-11-03T00:00:59Z

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The Jobs Report: Good, Not Great

2010-10-13T07:20:42Z

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September minutes show Fed close to easing

2010-10-12T18:32:40Z

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Ambiguous Jobs Reports Sparks Bizarro Reaction, But Mostly Bullish

2010-11-02T12:27:34Z

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Friday Bond Market Recap

2010-10-12T00:11:24Z

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US sheds 95,000 jobs amid government downsizing

2010-11-17T13:44:06Z

The US economy unexpectedly shed 95,000 non-farm jobs in September and unemployment remained stuck at 9.6 percent, government data showed Friday, highlighting the sluggish recovery ahead of key mid-term elections.

The Labor Department report surprised most analysts who had predicted zero job losses and an uptick in the jobless rate to 9.7 percent.

The nonfarm payrolls reading marked a sharp decline from a revised 57,00...

Bullard says Fed decision on easing a "tough call"

2010-10-08T11:06:32Z

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve faces a difficult decision at next month's policy meeting on whether to offer further stimulus to a U.S. economy that is still growing but only slowly, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Friday.

Policymakers could wait until December if they felt the need...

How The Federal Reserve Was Formed

2010-10-09T08:34:40Z

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Insights From the Fall Meeting of the Brookings Panel on Economic Activity

2010-10-06T15:41:30Z

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Coming Full Circle on Monetary Policy

2010-10-06T08:44:28Z

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Why QE2 Isn't the Answer

2010-10-05T13:02:08Z

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Fed Poised To Act, Citing Deflation, But Data Disagree

2010-10-04T20:26:43Z

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Is This a Replay of 1929?

2010-10-04T03:08:03Z

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US consumer spending ticks higher in August

2010-10-01T08:15:24Z

US consumers spent slightly more than expected in August as households saw a surge in cash at their disposal, government data showed Friday.

Consumer spending, considered a key indicator of US economic growth, rose 0.4 percent from July, the second straight month of increases after stagnating in June, according to seasonally adjusted data from the Commerce Department.

The increase was better than the 0.3 p...

The Ultimate Deflation-Fighting ETF

2010-10-01T22:02:59Z

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Economy loses speed in spring; more weakness ahead

2010-10-22T13:25:40Z

Economic growth slows sharply in spring at just a 1.7 percent pace; more weakness ahead

The nation's economic growth tailed off sharply in the spring and probably isn't faring any better now.

The Commerce Department reported Thursday that gross domestic product — the broadest measure of the economy's health — expanded at a feeble 1.7 percent annual rate in the April-to-June quarter.

The new reading is a notch higher tha...

The Fed Pushes On A String As It Ponders How To Create Inflation

2010-09-29T21:44:46Z

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More Fed easing not yet a done deal, Lockhart says

2010-09-29T03:00:05Z

SEWANEE, Tennessee (Reuters) - A top Federal Reserve official said on Tuesday that he has yet to make up his mind whether further ease monetary policy is needed, despite a weakening U.S. economy and some risk of deflation.

Even with the risk of deflation, a vicious cycle of falling prices and we...

Sour economic mood in living room and boardroom

2010-09-29T21:43:51Z

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Stop Printing Money

2010-09-28T17:02:05Z

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Has the U.S. economy improved in the third quarter?

2010-09-27T19:15:19Z

Stock market's four-week rally might be misleading

Economic growth in the second quarter slowed to an anemic 1.6% from 5.0% in the December quarter, and 3.7% in the first quarter.

Hopes have been that things began picking up again in the third quarter and that last year’s recovery from the recession is back on track.

However, with only one more week left in the quarter economists are still surprisingly mixed in their views about the quarter, so...

Invitation To An Inflation Party

2010-11-02T12:27:28Z

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Weighing the Week Ahead: Understanding the Wall of Worry

2010-11-02T12:14:48Z

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Wall Street Fed Interest Rates

2010-12-14T12:01:50Z

A television monitor in a booth on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange shows the interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve, Tuesday, Dec. 14, 2010. (AP Photo)

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Fed Crisis Lending

2010-12-01T10:32:47Z

FILE - In this April 19, 2010 file photo, a Wells Fargo Bank is shown in Palo Alto, Calif. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2010, named the companies that used its emergency loan programs during the financial crisis and revealing how much t...

Bernanke

2010-11-18T19:01:46Z

FILE - In this Sept. 30, 2010 file photo, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies on Capitol Hill Washington. Bernanke is seeking to defuse rising criticism of the Fed's $600 billion bond-purchase plan by arguing that it's needed to bolster the economy and reduce unemployment. But he warns the Fed's progra...

South Korea Volcker

2010-11-05T00:30:29Z

Former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker speaks during a press conference in Seoul, South Korea, Friday, Nov. 5, 2010. Volcker said that the U.S. central bank's plan to buy hundreds of billions of dollars in government bonds probably won't do much to boost the econom...

Fed Interest Rates

2010-11-03T12:35:25Z

The interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve is seen on a television screen at the post of specialist Paul Cosentino, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Wednesday, Nov. 3, 2010. The Fed pledged to hold its key interest rate at a record low near zero for "an extended period." ...

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